
Offline

Noticed something interesting today. We're rated #4 in the A10 according to Kenpom (one spot behind Dayton). But we're tied for eighth in the A10 standings. Seems like a bit of a disparity.
I know a lot of people here follow Kenpom. Wondering why you might thinks of this disparity?
Made sure to extend this screenshot downward for obvious reasons
Offline
We are + 138 in our seven wins and -55 in our nine losses for a plus 78 overall. Since Kenpom factors point spreads, that is why we are 4th in the A-10..
Offline

LA Colonial wrote:
We are + 138 in our seven wins and -55 in our nine losses for a plus 78 overall. Since Kenpom factors point spreads, that is why we are 4th in the A-10..
Thanks. Was wondering perhaps how this describes our team. Clearly shows how bad we are in close games. If we win even just a few of those, we 🚀 up the standings.
Offline
Well, KenPom’s explanation is bad luck - we are dead last in the nation out of 365 teams in his “luck” metric.
But the better explanation is that our overall efficiency is solid because we have been incredibly efficient in most games, and most of our losses have been close. Or, put another way, we are a pretty good team overall that has an incredible ability to find ways to lose.
Also worth noting, whether you win or lose is irrelevant to KenPom’s formula - it’s just a measure of how many points pi score per possession vs how many you give up per possesion, adjusted for quality of opponents.
Offline

Free Quebec wrote:
r, put another way, we are a pretty good team overall that has an incredible ability to find ways to lose.
Exactly, which is why a lot of people are still considering GW a "sneaky" team to knock out a higher seed in the tournament. Our "worst" loss in conference play is the Fordham game where we had no clue how to run an offense without Castro. Our second worst loss was against VCU, where we just got tired down the stretch playing only 7 guys.
This team has been incredibly frustrating because so many of our losses could've easily been wins. FWIW, I like the idea of going up against SLU early in the tournament (assuming we get past the opponent in the 8/9 game, likely Fordham). If we can somehow beat SLU, we'd likely go up against two teams we've played very close: Mason & Dayton.
Offline
Know it's an important/key/interesting tool for those who are interested weighing college bball teams overall.
But don't care about KenPom unless we make a big tourney run and are in NIT contention and it is one of the rankings used. Or for the Crown, which is starting to be only a dream (although a bad one given our preseason expectations and talent).
Winners know how to win. Losers know how to lose. Thus far, we are losers.
The players are good people with the right level for our league or better ability even if not consistently. And the coaches are skilled recruiters for talent at least-- and the head coach is a basketball smart and good guy who in a just world would be leading us to greater success. But for whatever reason, we can't put it together, as of early March. Which is not a good place to be.
Only explanation is the curse of what we did to our team and former basketball coach continues.
We're just cursed. Need an exorcism or something.
Perfect characterization by Free Quebec: "put another way, we are a pretty good team overall that has an incredible ability to find ways to lose."