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3/16/2026 2:51 pm  #21


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Joel Joseph wrote:

Mayhem,

The nail biter with Hofstra in the 1st game of the 2016 NIT ended up being our closest game. Hofstra was well coached and came ready to play as I recall. We seemed to get the butterfly's out of our system and rolled through the remaining 4 games after that.

 We also caught a huge break in that we hosted Florida rather than going on the road to play at Florida. I think that was solely because Florida was unable to host for some renovations or construction reason. Huge difference.

 

3/16/2026 3:09 pm  #22


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Count me in as a fan who went through a disappointing season but is ready for some NIT Fever.  Would love to re-live 2016.

 

3/16/2026 3:22 pm  #23


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Why would Autrey play for Syracuse after they fired his father? Garrett has not played like he’s capable of and I assume it’s because of health/injury. Last year they all played and I would assume it will be the same this year.

 

3/16/2026 5:45 pm  #24


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

I have confirmed that everyone will be available subject to any health concerns.

 

3/16/2026 7:32 pm  #25


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Noticed 2 tidbits:

1) Altitude in Orem is 4775 feet (hopefully not a factor.)
2) The Wolverines have not 1, but 2 Mental Health and Performance Providers. (Maybe we can get one of them through the portal lol?). Plenty of room on the bench.

 

3/17/2026 12:39 am  #26


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

When I think of our NIT run, one of the indelible images is Matt Hart hitting that Logo three in which everyone knew it was in as soon as it left his hand.

Tonight I see Matt Hart getting some press (for being UVA’s challenge specialist). Maybe that’s a good omen?

https://sports.yahoo.com/mens-college-basketball/article/2026-ncaa-tournament-will-feature-a-new-and-potentially-crucial-element-the-coachs-challenge-183306502.html

 

3/17/2026 7:56 am  #27


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

excellent article

 

3/17/2026 9:08 am  #28


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

My hope for this NIT appearance is that we take more higher percentage two point shots and free throws and less three point shots.  This offense would work well with four shooters who can space the floor and knock down 40%-45%+ of their threes.  This works in the NBA and maybe at a select number of college programs.  While we do have outside shooters, we have lacked the consistency to make it work.  Our offensive efficiency numbers have more to do with pace than three point percentage.  Plus, that rating has come down considerably since we entered into conference play.  

This is not to suggest that the three point shot should be abandoned.  It simply should not be heavily relied upon.  There is a sweet spot for this team when three point attempts for a game is around the low 20's.  When we head into the 30's and higher, it's often a sign that the team has fallen behind with many of these attempts becoming poor looks to try to get back into the game.  Or, the team is having difficulty hanging onto a big lead, with so many lower percentage missed shots contributing mightily to our opponents' comebacks.

The irony is that we have in Rafael Castro one of the school's highest FG % shooters ever and yet we don't go to him nearly enough.  We have penetrators like Autry (when he makes up his mind that he's going to play this way), Wu, Jean, Garrett, and Christian who know how to get to the line (admittedly not always a great thing in the cases of Wu and Christian) to earn easy points and yet we don't do this nearly enough.  This team is enamored with the three point shot which has proven to be a temptation that doesn't work out nearly enough.

 

3/17/2026 9:43 am  #30


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Gwmayhem wrote:

My hope for this NIT appearance is that we take more higher percentage two point shots and free throws and less three point shots.  This offense would work well with four shooters who can space the floor and knock down 40%-45%+ of their threes.  This works in the NBA and maybe at a select number of college programs.  While we do have outside shooters, we have lacked the consistency to make it work.  Our offensive efficiency numbers have more to do with pace than three point percentage.  Plus, that rating has come down considerably since we entered into conference play.  

This is not to suggest that the three point shot should be abandoned.  It simply should not be heavily relied upon.  There is a sweet spot for this team when three point attempts for a game is around the low 20's.  When we head into the 30's and higher, it's often a sign that the team has fallen behind with many of these attempts becoming poor looks to try to get back into the game.  Or, the team is having difficulty hanging onto a big lead, with so many lower percentage missed shots contributing mightily to our opponents' comebacks.
.

You are preaching to the choir. Agree 100% and have been saying it all year (and last year!). Where you are way off is thinking there’s even a remote chance of Caputo shifting strategy. He’s chosen to die on this hill, and made that clear.  That’s why he led a significantly above average talented team to one of the single biggest underperformances against expectations in program history.

 

3/17/2026 10:20 am  #31


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

I can't find anywhere online that shows first half vs. second half statistics, but my feeling from watching the games is that we have shot the three much better in the first half this year than in the second half. I for one WANT to see GW shoot a lot of threes in the first half. What I would like to see, however, is that if we manage to build a good lead by halftime, that we switch to pounding the ball down low and getting FTs and layups in the second half. The problem is that this team often gets up big at the half from great three point shooting, then blows that lead by shooting poorly from the three in the second half, imho.

 

3/17/2026 12:02 pm  #32


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Seems weird to me for some of you to complain about the structure of our offense when it was literally the most efficient offense GW has ever had (or at least in the 30 years KenPom has stats for). 

We averaged 1.176 points per possession. 

The game has changed and I’m fine with us shooting threes as long as it leads to an offense that scores more per possession and can get good shots late in games. It also opens things up for Slim and Hunger.

Our problem was the defensive efficiency and, especially, ability to get stops late in games.

 

3/17/2026 1:05 pm  #33


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Free Quebec wrote:

Our problem was the defensive efficiency and, especially, ability to get stops late in games.

Not to mention running plays out of timeouts at the end of close games...

     Thread Starter
 

3/17/2026 1:34 pm  #34


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Free Quebec wrote:

Seems weird to me for some of you to complain about the structure of our offense when it was literally the most efficient offense GW has ever had (or at least in the 30 years KenPom has stats for).

We averaged 1.176 points per possession.

The game has changed and I’m fine with us shooting threes as long as it leads to an offense that scores more per possession and can get good shots late in games. It also opens things up for Slim and Hunger.

Our problem was the defensive efficiency and, especially, ability to get stops late in games.

What's weird to me is getting so caught up in efficiency rankings that you lose sight of the bigger picture which is winning and losing basketball games.  We just nearly blew a 24 point lead to Fordham after having missed 8 consecutive three point attempts in the second half.  We did blow a 21 point lead to St. Louis after shooting an abysmal percentage from 3 in the second half.  DC Native's hunch is likely to be true as players are more tired during the second halves of games which often leads to subpar shooting from deep.  And, despite efficiency rankings, we were OK at shooting 3's but not elite by a mile.

Getting caught up in efficiency ratings means that blowing out teams like AU, Maine and ODU is more helpful than losing competitively to McNeese, St. Louis and Dayton is hurtful.  It means making the NIT field over Duquesne, a team with a better conference record who beat GW head-to-head, so I'm unwilling to suggest that there's no place for them.  Nevertheless, it's conceivable that we could have won 3 or 4 of these close games we lost by relying less on three point shooting and we'd have ended up with a better record and arguably, worse offensive efficiency.  And somehow, that might have made those who cling to these rankings less satisfied despite the extra wins.
 

 

3/17/2026 2:08 pm  #35


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Free Quebec wrote:

Seems weird to me for some of you to complain about the structure of our offense when it was literally the most efficient offense GW has ever had (or at least in the 30 years KenPom has stats for).

We averaged 1.176 points per possession.

The game has changed and I’m fine with us shooting threes as long as it leads to an offense that scores more per possession and can get good shots late in games. It also opens things up for Slim and Hunger.

Our problem was the defensive efficiency and, especially, ability to get stops late in games.

Yes, defense was a problem but to ignore the offense completely is also a problem.

Our offensive problem is/was turnovers. I believe we rank #288. We turn it over at a high rate - greater than 15% of the time. We have had games when opponents have had roughly 30 points off of turnovers (Dayton and McNeese).

Also I'd love to see our efficiency in the last 5-10 minutes of games. Guarantee it is much less than the overall efficiency would suggest.

 

3/17/2026 2:30 pm  #36


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Better practice free throws 24 hours a day. Also a good time for coach to learn how to make second half adjustments.

 

3/17/2026 5:04 pm  #37


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Gwmayhem wrote:

Free Quebec wrote:

Seems weird to me for some of you to complain about the structure of our offense when it was literally the most efficient offense GW has ever had (or at least in the 30 years KenPom has stats for).

We averaged 1.176 points per possession.

The game has changed and I’m fine with us shooting threes as long as it leads to an offense that scores more per possession and can get good shots late in games. It also opens things up for Slim and Hunger.

Our problem was the defensive efficiency and, especially, ability to get stops late in games.

What's weird to me is getting so caught up in efficiency rankings that you lose sight of the bigger picture which is winning and losing basketball games.  We just nearly blew a 24 point lead to Fordham after having missed 8 consecutive three point attempts in the second half.  We did blow a 21 point lead to St. Louis after shooting an abysmal percentage from 3 in the second half.  DC Native's hunch is likely to be true as players are more tired during the second halves of games which often leads to subpar shooting from deep.  And, despite efficiency rankings, we were OK at shooting 3's but not elite by a mile.

Getting caught up in efficiency ratings means that blowing out teams like AU, Maine and ODU is more helpful than losing competitively to McNeese, St. Louis and Dayton is hurtful.  It means making the NIT field over Duquesne, a team with a better conference record who beat GW head-to-head, so I'm unwilling to suggest that there's no place for them.  Nevertheless, it's conceivable that we could have won 3 or 4 of these close games we lost by relying less on three point shooting and we'd have ended up with a better record and arguably, worse offensive efficiency.  And somehow, that might have made those who cling to these rankings less satisfied despite the extra wins.
 

 
💯💯💯

 

3/17/2026 9:17 pm  #38


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Rough first day of the NIT for the A10. Hopefully tomorrow is better.

 

3/18/2026 9:39 pm  #39


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Davidon and Mason took their lumps but GW wins and Dayton is winning big (on the road) in the 2nd. I will probably knock off before St Joe´s late tip-off, but all is not lost.

     Thread Starter
 

3/19/2026 7:18 am  #40


Re: NIT 2026 Thread

Dayton and St Joe's both get road wins. The A10 March to Indy continues...

     Thread Starter
 

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