Right now not so great because the great wins just aren't there. To me, they look like an NCAA team, but they just didn't have enough big teams on their OOC schedule. St. Francis (PA), South Alabama, Charleston are all good teams in their conferences but they don't figure to be more than just decent wins. I would say all three have underperformed based on preseason expectations this year. ODU win would mean more in most years but they are having their worst season in a while (just mediocre). Auburn and even Alabama would have been real resume boosters. Radford isn't a bad team in the Big South but they aren't even the best team there (Winthrop) so that loss isn't great. Wisconsin win is decent but they aren't more than a middling team in the Big Ten. 

The Dayton and VCU games would have definitely put them over the top, but they dropped both. Their next game, a rematch against their crosstown rival, is their best remaining opportunity (until the conference tournament) and I'm not sure it means as much after the Rams lost to GMU. If they win that and continue to pile up wins the rest of the year they will definitely be in the conversation. A loss along the way will put them solidly in NIT territory. 

VCU losing to Mason was bad for the league. It was good for Paulsen and pretty much no one else. The LSU win is what they are hanging their hat on because otherwise they haven't been great. Evans just hasn't fully recovered from injury last year, and him going 0-7 last night didn't come at an ideal time.

Included in Richmond's 18-6 record is a 15-1 record in Quadrant 3 and 4 games.  They are 2-4 in Q1 games and 1-1 in Q2 games.  Playing 2/3 of your schedule against Q3 and Q4 opponents will not help (though they still have some important matchups left, most notably at home against VCU and Davidson and on the road against SBU and Duquesne).  Their best wins are against Wisconsin on a neutral court and at URI.  Rhody is just 1-4 in Q1 games but make up for this with a 5-1 record in Q2 games.  Depending on who the remaining wins and losses are against, it will likely take around 23-24 wins including A10 tournament games to get an at-large.

VCU is just 3-6 in Q1 and 2 games.  The Mason loss was their first of the year that wasn't a Q1 or Q2 loss.  They would need to play their way out at this point but they still have games left at Richmond, St. Louis and Davidson, plus home games against Dayton and Duquesne.  

There is a tendency to look at these resumes and boot more teams out rather than keep more teams in.  Filling up a 68 school field involves including a few schools whose resumes leave people shaking their heads (am pretty sure, without looking it up, that Georgia, Indiana and Texas have had 14 loss teams which received at large bids within the past decade or so). 

Wow, that is a gaudy #15 for URI!

URI having a great year

SLU is much lower in KenPom, but Richmond does fare well in computer metrics across the board.
 

Can Richmond land an at Large bid?

20-7, top 50 KenPom

 

Can Richmond land an at Large bid?

20-7, top 50 KenPom