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GW off a win over Rhode Island takes on 21-4 George Mason next.
Predictions? Line??
Last edited by The Dude (2/13/2026 8:59 pm)
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George Mason Patriots (Game 2)
Date: Friday February 13th, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Charles E. Smith Center (Washington, DC)
TV: CBSSN
Ranks: 85th (KenPom), 119th (Bart Torvik), 99th (Haslametrics), 84th (EvanMiya)
NET Rankings: 84th (Q3 Game)
2025-26 Projected Record: 24-7, 12-6 (3rd in A10)
Game 1 Result: GMU 69, GW 64 (Johnson 18 points, Castro 17 points, Autry 12 points)
Team Preview: Link
George Mason Record Since Last Matchup: 3-3 (Wins vs. Davidson, @ St. Bonaventure, vs. St. Joe's; Losses @ Rhode Island, vs. Duquesne, @ Richmond)
Offensive Efficiency: 103rd (KenPom), 140th (Bart Torvik), 102nd (Haslametrics), 88th (EvanMiya)
Defensive Efficiency: 79th (KenPom), 110th (Bart Torvik), 118th (Haslametrics), 82nd (EvanMiya)
Pace: 324th (KenPom), 322nd (Bart Torvik), 341st (Haslametrics), 334th (EvanMiya)
Projected Starting Lineup:
#3 G Kory Mincy (Junior; East Point, GA) - 15.6 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 3.3 apg, 1.1 spg; 47% FG, 41% 3-PT, 90% FT per 34.6 mpg/25 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 13 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal; 5-11 FG, 3-8 3-PT in 36 minutes.
#2 G Jahari Long (Graduate Student; Houston, TX) - 11.6 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 3.8 apg; 45% FG, 36% 3-PT, 83% FT per 33.2 mpg/25 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 3 points, 2 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal; 1-6 FG, 1-5 3-PT, 0-1 FT in 31 minutes.
#0 G Masai Troutman (Senior; Frederick, MD) - 8.2 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 1.3 apg; 40% FG, 33% 3-PT, 80% FT per 24.2 mpg/23 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 14 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists; 6-11 FG, 2-6 3-PT in 32 minutes.
#9 F Stas Sivka (Sophomore; Celje, Slovenia) - 2.4 ppg, 1.6 rpg; 40% FG, 31% 3-PT, 79% FT per 11.7 mpg/23 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 1 point, 3 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block; 0-1 FG, 0-1 3-PT, 1-2 FT in 11 minutes.
#35 F/C Riley Allenspach (Junior; Charlotte, NC) - 13.4 ppg, 6.1 rpg; 58% FG, 30% 3-PT, 66% FT per 24 mpg/24 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 18 points, 12 rebounds; 6-11 FG, 1-2 3-PT, 5-7 FT in 30 minutes.
Projected Bench:
#5 G Fatt Hill (Senior; Bessemer, AL) - 11.1 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.8 apg; 52% FG, 24% 3-PT, 75% FT per 24.2 mpg/19 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 11 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals; 4-6 FG, 3-4 FT in 26 minutes.
#10 F Emmanuel Kanga (Freshman; Libreville, Gabon) - 4.6 ppg, 5.2 rpg; 60% FG, 55% FT per 12.6 mpg/24 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 3 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal; 3-4 FT in 11 minutes.
#23 F Nick Ellington (Graduate Student; St. Louis, MO) - 4.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg; 56% FG, 65% FT per 12.6 mpg/23 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: DNP
#13 G/F Malik Presley (Junior; San Marcos, TX) - 4.2 ppg, 1.9 rpg; 52% FG, 35% 3-PT, 44% FT per 18.6 mpg/25 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 2 points; 1-1 FG in 9 minutes.
#4 F Dola Adebayo (Graduate Student; Fort Myers, FL) - 3.8 ppg, 2.4 rpg; 40% FG, 30% 3-PT, 79% FT per 11.7 mpg/20 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 1 point, 1 steal; 1-2 FT in 6 minutes.
#11 G Devin Booker (Freshman; Philadelphia, PA) - 1.6 ppg; 27% FG, 15% 3-PT, 50% FT per 6.8 mpg/18 GP
Game 1 @ George Mason: 3 points, 1 rebound, 1 block; 1-2 FG, 1-1 3-PT in 8 minutes.
Conference Marks (A10 play only):
Scoring Defense: 67.1 PPG (1st)
Opponent 3-Point FG Percentage: 31.2% (2nd)
Opponent FT Percentage: 68.1% (2nd)
Team FG Percentage: 47.4% (2nd)
Combined Opponent Rebounds: 32.1 RPG (3rd)
Opponent FG Percentage: 42.1% (3rd)
Team Defensive Rebounds: 25.1 DRPG (3rd)
Scoring Margin: +3.1 PPG (4th)
Turnovers Per Game: 10.3 TO/G (5th)
Rebound Margin: +1.7 RPG (6th)
Combined Team Rebounds: 33.8 RPG (8th)
Assist/Turnover Ratio: 1.23 AST/TO (9th)
Team FT Percentage: 70.9% (9th)
Scoring Offense: 70.2 PPG (10th)
Turnover Margin: -0.42 TO/G (10th)
Blocked Shots Per Game: 2.33 BPG (11th)
Team 3-Point FG Percentage: 30.5% (11th)
Team Offensive Rebounds: 8.7 ORPG (12th)
Assists Per Game: 12.6 APG (13th)
Opponent Turnovers Per Game: 9.8 TO/G (13th)
Steals Per Game: 4.75 SPG (13th)
3-Point FGs Made: 5.2 3PM/G (14th)
Individual Leaders (A10 play only);
Scoring:
Riley Allenspach - 14.7 PPG (12th)
Kory Mincy - 13.2 PPG (21st)
Rebounding:
Riley Allenspach - 5.5 RPG (15th)
Emmanuel Kanga - 5.3 RPG (18th)
Field Goal Percentage:
Riley Allenspach - 57.9% (4th)
3-PT Field Goal Percentage:
Kory Mincy - 36.5% (24th)
Free Throw Percentage:
Fatt Hill - 85.2% (11th)
Jahari Long - 84.2% (13th)
Kory Mincy - 80.6% (20th)
3-PT Field Goals Per Game:
Kory Mincy - 1.9 3PM/G (16th)
Assists Per Game:
Jahari Long - 3.9 APG (8th)
Kory Mincy - 2.8 APG (18th)
Assist/Turnover Ratio:
Jahari Long - 2.9 AST/TO (3rd)
Blocks Per Game:
Emmanuel Kanga - 0.6 BPG (21st)
Keys/Trends:
- Since the last game in Fairfax, George Mason has been poor from three point range. The Patriots have shot above 28% from downtown just once in the last six games.
- In this time, GMU has averaged fewer than five makes from downtown. During conference play, they rank dead last in three point makes per game.
- While GMU is known for being a physical, defensive team this is not a team that forces turnovers or generates many takeaways. The Patriots have averaged fewer than five steals a game over the last half-dozen games. GW has struggled at times to take care of the ball, and many of those miscues have been unforced. It's up to the Revs to limit the mental errors.
- One thing that Mason has done fairly well despite the .500 record over the last few weeks is contesting the 3. Outside of the last game where Richmond buried 12 threes at a 39% clip, the previous five opponents shot around 31.5% from downtown, which is around Mason's average. I'm not saying GW needs to be a 3P-centric team tomorrow, but it sure would help to shoot a bit better than the 32% mark at EagleBank.
- Mason is certainly good at making opponents adjust when they shoot near the rim, but this is not a squad that has much rim protection. They've averaged just 2.5 blocks per game over the last six games. Kanga is the closest thing to a rim protector, but he's still just a freshman and doesn't play huge minutes.
- Can GW be more disruptive defensively? GMU had 18 assists in the last meeting (compared to just 13 for GW), but this is not a team that excels in that department. Opponents have out-assisted Mason in five of the last six games and that includes the Rhody team the Revs just saw that's a pretty poor passing squad. GW certainly has the capability to win this assist battle with or without Slim, and that should be a goal tomorrow.
- This game could very much come down to whether GW can hit the 70 point mark (at the very least). Mason has not lost this season when they've held opponents under 70. In their four losses, Virginia Tech scored 73, Rhode Island scored 74, Duquesne scored 71, and Richmond most recently hung 82. If this game is low-scoring and close it's certainly advantage Patriots. We've seen that ourselves the last few meetings against Skinn teams.
- Riley Allenspach gave GW a lot of issues in the last meeting. What adjustments does CC have up his sleeve? The junior from Charlotte is averaging 15.7 ppg in the last three games on 58% shooting from the field (and 3/7 from 3). He's not fouled out this season and without Slim I don't even think that's a possibility. Given Mason's lack of shooting, perhaps double teams are sent his way when he's in the game? Allenspach is not a prolific passing big.
- Kory Mincy, Mason's best three point shooter, is reportedly dealing with a thumb issue that has reduces his effectiveness in the last three games. In that span, Mincy is just 7/25 (28%) from the field and 3/15 (20%) from deep. If not fully healed yet, that might give GW a bit of a break, but ideally he's not the guard you want taking shots.
- Perhaps the biggest X-factor in the last meeting was Masai Troutman, who had 14 points. Since then, the Maryland native has combined to score 10 points in the last six games combined on an ice cold 3/18 shooting (17%) and 1/9 from 3 (11%). Mason is undefeated when Troutman scores double figures. Interestingly, he played just six minutes in the last game. Hopefully he remains in a slump going into tomorrow's game.
- Jahari Long has picked up some of the scoring slack, scoring in double figures in five of the last six games and seven of Mason's last nine contests. He notably made a big three from the corner late in the previous meeting to put Mason up, but otherwise he had one of his worst performances of the season against GW. I don't really see him being such a non-factor again. Long didn't shoot the 3 ball particularly well in the month of January (just 5/26 - 19%) and perhaps GW plays off him a bit to prevent drives to the rim - especially because he has the ability to drive-and-kick.
- Fatt Hill made some timely plays in the last matchup, but he can be a bit hit-or-miss offensively. Can the Revs keep him from getting to the rim? Hill has attempted just seven threes in the last six, and four of those came in the last game against Richmond. It's not what he wants to do. Defensively, Hill can find himself in foul trouble. He had four personals in the GW game and has been called for four in three of GMU's last four games.
- Stas Sivka is 3/4 from deep in the last three games after being a combined 0/10 from deep in the seven games prior. He's not a high-usage player but GW will need to be prepared for him to let it fly from deep as a 6'10" forward.
- Emmanuel Kanga was not credited for a field goal attempt in the last meeting and only pulled down two boards. Since that game, he's averaging 6.3 rebounds a game. Mind you, this is in like 15 minutes a game. He's a strong presence on the glass. With Slim likely still sidelined, how will GW be able to keep him off the boards? Rebounding has been pretty good for GW, but boxing Kanga out in particular will be important.
- Nick Ellington did not play in the last matchup, so his impact will be a mystery down low. He does all his damage near the rim, and is 10/12 from the field since returning after the GW game. Ellington could end up quietly being an important piece. He had 11 in the last game against Richmond, his first double figure performance since December.
- Outside of an 8 point, 4 rebound performance against St. Joe's, Dola Adebayo has not been much of a factor in the lineup. He's played over 10 minutes just twice in conference play. Still, he's like the fourth straight forward I'm mentioning so dealing with his size is still worth monitoring.
- Malik Presley is a low-usage option who will probably see around 10 minutes or so of action. He's averaged four rebounds in Mason's last two games so I guess add him to the list of individuals that GW will need to keep off the glass.
- In true GW fashion, Devin Booker made just his third three of the season in the last matchup back in January. Booker is 0/6 from 3 since and in fact hasn't made a field goal since the game in Fairfax. I figure he saw more minutes against Richmond because GMU was getting blown out and Skinn wanted to send a message. He's probably going to see closer to 5-7 minutes.
Projected Score: GW 77, GMU 74. 61% chance to win (KenPom). Bart Torvik forecasts a 75% chance at a W. ESPN predicts a 62.6% chance for GW to move to 15-11.
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GW is 2.5 point favorites? I don't get it.
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Can the poster who shared the pirate feed for cbssports network please repost it? I don’t have access to cbs and can’t get to the game.
Last edited by Alum1 (2/13/2026 1:37 pm)
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Surprised we are a 2.5 point favorite without Castro again. But if Mason doesn’t rediscover their shooting touch tonight, and we play hard and hit enough shots we can win this.
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Will tonight´s game draw as big a crowd to the Smith Center as the buddhist monks? (given student turnout earlier this week, my guess is "no").
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Bubu is out.
Slim is questionable!
But the team posted a video on social media a couple hrs ago and Slim appears in practice gear.
Here’s hoping!
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GW 2005 Alumna wrote:
Bubu is out.
Slim is questionable!
But the team posted a video on social media a couple hrs ago and Slim appears in practice gear.
Here’s hoping!
Here's hoping not just for a Slim appearance, but a HEALTHY and thus productive Slim appearance...
Last edited by DC Native (2/13/2026 5:39 pm)
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Alum1 wrote:
Can the poster who shared the pirate feed for cbssports network please repost it? I don’t have access to cbs and can’t get to the game.
I think you can get a free trial for 21 days on YouTubeTV, which includes CBS Sports.
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RevsBall were two strikes away from winning their Opening Day game at Western Carolina, instead we head to extra innings. Hopefully the men´s basketball team makes easier work of their game tonight.
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Western Carolina gets a two-run homer with one out in the 10th to win 7-5. Matt Bruno gets the loss and the blown save.
Hopefully, this is not an omen.
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Block or Charge wrote:
Alum1 wrote:
Can the poster who shared the pirate feed for cbssports network please repost it? I don’t have access to cbs and can’t get to the game.
I think you can get a free trial for 21 days on YouTubeTV, which includes CBS Sports.
Thanks - I burned through that trial and Fubo but I found a link!
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Alum1 wrote:
Block or Charge wrote:
Alum1 wrote:
Can the poster who shared the pirate feed for cbssports network please repost it? I don’t have access to cbs and can’t get to the game.
I think you can get a free trial for 21 days on YouTubeTV, which includes CBS Sports.
Thanks - I burned through that trial and Fubo but I found a link!
Vipbox might have the game.
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Pretty good crowd. Castro warmed up and I thought he might play, but he’s still in his warmup gear. ![]()
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Like that we started by going inside out
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Luke on fire right now. Whoever said they scream “No” every time he shoots the 3 must be a little conflicted right now, lol.
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No, no, no,- great shot!
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Was it just my feed, or after saying Mason lost to Hofstra in the "A10 tournament" (WRONG, it was the CAA) did their announcers mics get blissfully turned off?
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We definitely lead America in missed layups. By a mile.
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Defense very intense